TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace at which each team scores, rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the scoring sequence during the game.
The event determines whether Dallas, Green Bay, or neither team will be the first to score 21 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If either Dallas or Green Bay reaches 21 points first during the game’s regulation or overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of event outcomes than traditional odds, though discrepancies can exist, especially early in the market’s life. It's common to see convergence as the event draws nearer and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the race to 21 points between the Cowboys and the Packers.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, the Dallas Cowboys or the Green Bay Packers, reaches 21 points first during the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the winner. The market will close and settle based on this verifiable result, providing a clear outcome for all participants. The final score will be the determining factor in resolving this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Significant changes in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game polls, could also move the market. Finally, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions leading up to the game could prompt traders to adjust their positions, impacting the price of contracts in this market.