TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team reaches 10 points first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Dallas, Green Bay, or neither team is the first to score 10 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If either Dallas or Green Bay reaches 10 points before the other, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. All resolutions are based on the full game result, including any overtime periods.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on implied probabilities and public betting patterns, this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses, access to unique information, or simply a diverse range of viewpoints among traders. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring – in this case, either the Cowboys or the Packers reaching 10 points first. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate the collective intelligence of its participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team's success.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team, the Dallas Cowboys or the Green Bay Packers, officially reaches 10 points on the scoreboard first during the game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions leading up to the game, as well as any pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts, could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected developments during warmups could also trigger rapid adjustments in contract prices.