TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match.
The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks, Jordan Love or Dak Prescott, achieve specified minimum numbers of passing touchdowns in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 5) for each quarterback. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the specified touchdown threshold for the respective quarterback.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news and public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their expectations. Discrepancies can create arbitrage opportunities for those who identify mispricings between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing touchdowns. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research and analysis, and the market price fluctuates with supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by both teams during the Dallas versus Green Bay game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in team strategy or coaching decisions, as well as late-breaking news about defensive matchups, could all contribute to volatility in the NFL passing touchdowns market.