TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions thrown by quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between two teams. The outcome depends on whether specific players exceed defined interception thresholds during the match. Settlement hinges on official game statistics once the contest concludes.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by named quarterbacks during the specified game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at its pre-game fair market price. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—including snaps nullified by penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. All outcomes are determined exclusively by official game statistics, with no consideration for post-game adjustments or disputes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome – in this case, a particular number of interceptions. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain number of interceptions, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability that traders assign to that outcome occurring, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Dallas vs Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official stats are released.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding the quarterbacks’ health, such as an injury report, could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also impact the market. Changes in team strategy or defensive schemes announced leading up to the game, or even in-game adjustments, may also cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.