TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with their receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the named quarterback—Jordan Love or Dak Prescott—in the Dallas vs. Green Bay NFL game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For any market, if the referenced quarterback is active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any given play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 17+, 22+, etc.) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' resolution. These rules apply independently to each market and quarterback, allowing for multiple simultaneous resolutions based on performance benchmarks.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities, though market sentiment can still influence pricing. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially offering a more real-time reflection of expectations for the Cowboys vs Packers game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific number of completions, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, providing a unique signal about the likely result of the game. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing completions recorded by the official game statistics will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence predictions about passing volume. Unexpected announcements about changes to offensive strategies or key player availability could also shift the market. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could also signal a change in sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.