TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on whether they exceed certain thresholds. It provides insight into anticipated offensive strategies and game dynamics between the two teams. Outcomes are determined by actual performance metrics recorded during the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around passing attempts by both Jordan Love and Dak Prescott in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold for resolving as 'Yes,' ranging from 30+ to 42+ passing attempts for each quarterback. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total passing attempts they record during the game. All markets operate independently, and each has its own specific threshold for resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain passing attempt totals. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders are constantly posting buy and sell offers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of the outcome. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds closely align with the perceived likelihood of different passing attempt totals. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome in the Cowboys vs Packers game.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals from the Dallas vs Green Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts by both teams combined will be used to determine the winning contracts. This market provides a unique opportunity to forecast the game’s strategic approach to offense, and the resolution will be based on official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves around Oct 19, 2026. Unexpected news regarding the quarterbacks’ health for either the Cowboys or the Packers – such as an injury update – would likely cause a shift in the market. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions favoring a run-heavy offensive strategy, could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching decisions impacting offensive play-calling, or significant shifts in analyst predictions regarding game strategy, could all lead to price fluctuations in this market.