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Closed: Oct 18, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
Traders are betting on whether MarShawn Lloyd, Pierre Strong Jr., or Javonte Williams will record the most rushing yards in the Dallas vs Green Bay game. The outcome depends entirely on individual player performance throughout the match.
This event centers on determining which player—MarShawn Lloyd, Pierre Strong Jr., or Javonte Williams—records the most rushing yards in the Dallas vs Green Bay game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If the named player achieves the highest rushing yards, their respective market resolves to Yes. If a player does not participate, the market resolves to No. In case of a tie among multiple players for the highest yards, the payout is divided equally among tied markets at a rate of 1/N, where N is the number of tied players. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time allow the market to remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. All determinations are based solely on official game statistics.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many informed traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome than traditional betting odds. However, it’s important to note that sportsbooks and this market serve different purposes and attract different types of participants, leading to potential discrepancies in pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different players, and the price of each contract indicates the market’s probability assessment of that player leading in rushing yards. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the cost to purchase a contract that pays out $1 if the player wins, and the market is designed to be highly liquid, allowing traders to enter and exit positions easily.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the most official rushing yards as recorded by the NFL will be considered the winner. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to view the final result and any relevant data on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official statistics release.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding player injuries to key running backs would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or snow, could also impact the expected rushing yardage totals. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or performance expectations will be closely watched by traders and reflected in the prices on Kalshi.