TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game, with payouts directly tied to each player's fantasy points scored. The structure ensures that returns scale linearly with performance, offering both upside potential and downside protection.
Each market determines payouts based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player during the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each contract, the Yes payout is calculated at $0.01 per fantasy point, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is set as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the player that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, and all markets are independent scalar contracts.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there’s strong sentiment or inside information not yet factored into sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially providing a more accurate forecast of the game's outcome than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask on contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Cowboys vs Packers game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final score of the game, and any official adjustments made afterward. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price of their chosen contract.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive volume and alter the odds.