TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers on whether either Dallas or Green Bay records a touchdown via a defensive play or special teams unit in their Pro Football game. Such touchdowns can occur when the defense scores by tackling the offensive player in the end zone, recovering a fumble there, or intercepting a pass and running it back for a score.
If Dallas or Green Bay record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the market perceives value or disagreement with traditional oddsmakers regarding the likelihood of a defensive/special teams touchdown in the Cowboys vs. Packers game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a defensive/special teams touchdown will occur. As more people buy contracts indicating 'yes', the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of the event happening, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether either the Dallas Cowboys or the Green Bay Packers defensive or special teams unit scores a touchdown during the game. Official game statistics and play-by-play data will be used to determine if a defensive/special teams touchdown was scored by either team. The final score and official game logs will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be significant, as would any news regarding special teams performance or strategy. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the likelihood of a defensive/special teams touchdown. Game-day developments, like a key turnover or a blocked punt, would likely cause rapid price movements. Finally, any major shifts in public perception or analysis regarding the teams’ defensive capabilities could also affect trading activity.