TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Dallas and Green Bay in the final quarter of their football game. Bettors assess how offensive the teams might be in the last quarter, considering factors like game strategy, player performance, and any late-game scoring opportunities.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by Dallas and Green Bay in the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Resolution is based solely on points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter, with overtime points excluded from all calculations. The outcome for each market is binary: 'Yes' if the total exceeds the threshold, and 'No' otherwise. All markets operate independently, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the final quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome, though neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. Analysts often watch both to gauge public sentiment and identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts increase in value before the event concludes. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants regarding the game's final score.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter between the Dallas Cowboys and the Green Bay Packers will determine the result. The platform will use official game statistics to determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It's important to monitor the game's progress leading up to the final whistle.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. In-game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will dynamically adjust the price as the 4th quarter approaches. Unexpected developments in the game’s flow will likely cause the most substantial shifts in the market.