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Closed: Oct 18, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming Dallas vs Green Bay football game, this event checks whether both teams manage to score any points during the fourth quarter. Scoring includes touchdowns, field goals, or safeties. The outcome depends solely on the performance in that specific quarter, regardless of the overall game result.
If Dallas and Green Bay both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks may prioritize attracting action on certain outcomes. However, as the event approaches, prediction market prices tend to become highly efficient, incorporating a wide range of information and potentially outperforming traditional odds in their accuracy. It's worth comparing both to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether both the Cowboys and Packers will score in the fourth quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving consensus of the crowd and provides a clear indication of market expectations. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand among traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Dallas Cowboys and the Green Bay Packers score at any point during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have successfully scored. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final result. It’s important to monitor the game closely as the fourth quarter unfolds to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high scoring or defensive struggles, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could lead traders to adjust their expectations. Finally, late-breaking news or analysis from respected football commentators could also contribute to price movements in this market.