TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Dallas and Green Bay during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Participants can bet on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Dallas and Green Bay during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets cover a range of thresholds from 3.5 to 24.5 points, allowing participants to choose their level of risk and potential return. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, this market tends to converge with sportsbook odds, as both attempt to accurately forecast the final result. Keep in mind that these are distinct sources of information, each with its own strengths.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored in the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher score, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day approaches. The current price represents the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Dallas vs Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the total points scored will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence the collective forecast represented by this market.