TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of an upcoming professional football game. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the early game stages, where momentum and strategy can significantly influence the match's early trajectory.
If Green Bay wins the 1st Quarter of the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the 1st Quarter of the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people trade, the price tends to converge towards what many believe is the true probability of each outcome, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional betting odds. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the potential winner of the first quarter. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Dallas vs Green Bay game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway market sentiment. Even public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.