TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming professional football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that can be bet on independently. The outcomes depend solely on the combined performance of both teams during the initial quarter of play.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by Dallas and Green Bay in the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is resolved based on whether the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter surpass that threshold. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward these markets, and all markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The markets are not endorsed by or affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities differ from traditional sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on public betting patterns, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the first quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Dallas vs. Green Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scoring data from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that all traders receive a fair and accurate settlement based on the actual event results. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Even pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts, if it deviates significantly from the current market consensus, might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected line movements in traditional sportsbooks could also create arbitrage opportunities and affect volume.