TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle as 'Yes'.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each with a specific numerical threshold for points scored by either Dallas or Green Bay in the first half of their game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For any given sub-market, if the designated team scores more points than the stated threshold during the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All sub-markets share the same underlying game and timing, but each evaluates a unique point total benchmark for each team separately. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league of the football game, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might suggest that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a stronger informational advantage. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The current prices indicate the market's expectation for the total points scored by each team in the first half of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Green Bay Packers in the first half of the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official scoring data from the game will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Packers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, especially as the game draws closer.