TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Green Bay will win the first half of their game against Dallas by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Green Bay achieving this on Kalshi is 90.0%. Resolution will be determined by the outcome of the first half of the Dallas vs Green Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, as defined by the market’s resolution source. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the result of the first half by October 19, 2026.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Dallas and Green Bay during the first half of their game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning margin: if Green Bay wins by exceeding a set number of points (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5), the corresponding 'Green Bay wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Dallas achieves a winning margin above its specified thresholds (2.5 to 10.5 points), the relevant 'Dallas wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the first half count toward these outcomes. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately without affecting the others. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods, as they aggregate a diverse range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final first-half spread in the Dallas versus Green Bay game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts after the event concludes and the data is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dallas Cowboys or the Green Bay Packers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also introduce volatility, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.