TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:23 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC: If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Mavericks". If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Houston Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 10:00 UTC: If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Mavericks". If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Houston Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically providing a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market evolves as new information and opinions emerge, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines as the event approaches. It's often useful to compare the two to identify potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mavericks-Rockets game—which team wins—will be used to determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by authoritative sports news sources. Any potential challenges or disputes will be evaluated against these official records to ensure a fair and accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries to key players on either the Mavericks or the Rockets would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Additionally, public sentiment, fueled by expert analysis or social media discussion, can influence trader behavior. Finally, any late-breaking news about team performance or internal dynamics could cause a re-evaluation of probabilities and lead to price adjustments before Oct 11, 2026.