TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1, focusing on which team will secure a victory within regular time. The event will determine whether Dalian Kun City, Guangxi Hengchen FC, or a tied result occurs by the end of the 90-minute regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes are based solely on the official match result as it concludes after stoppage time on the scheduled date.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Dalian Kun City vs Guangxi Hengchen FC professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific team market if that team wins the match within regulation time, or for the 'Tie' market if the game ends level. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing strictly on the regulation-time outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change. Ultimately, this market provides a unique view based on trader sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each result in the Dalian Kun City vs Guangxi Hengchen match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dalian Kun City vs Guangxi Hengchen match, as reported by official sporting news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even public opinion expressed through polls, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed speculation and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.