TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dalian Kun City and Changchun Yatai in China's League 1. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, or if the game will end in a tie.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for, or vice versa. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific result happens in the Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai match, as officially reported by a recognized sporting authority, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and determine which outcome triggers payout for those who correctly predicted the result of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Dalian Kun City or Changchun Yatai could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, potentially causing the market to react quickly.