TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either the Dallas Cowboys or the Houston Texans. The outcomes depend on the actual points scored by each team during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a set threshold of points in the game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the team in question exceeds the point threshold outlined in the market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If they score at or below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' The thresholds vary for each team, offering multiple levels of scoring performance to bet on. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines may differ significantly from those seen here, particularly before substantial trading volume occurs. It's common to observe convergence as the event nears, with both sets of odds aligning as more information becomes available and public sentiment solidifies. This market offers a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular team total is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if traders think it's unlikely, the price will fall.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final combined score of the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league. The market will determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual combined team total falls within the ranges defined by the available contracts. Traders will receive payouts based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Cowboys or the Texans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in market sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.