TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the DAL Cowboys will win by more than 2.5 points against the HOU Texans. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 55.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the DAL Cowboys vs HOU Texans Pro Football game, with a ‘Yes’ resolution if the HOU Texans win by more than 17.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the final result will determine the market outcome.
All markets resolve based on the final official score of the Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold; if the winning team exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' Markets are divided into two categories: those where Houston wins by a certain margin and those where Dallas wins by a certain margin. The thresholds range from narrow margins (e.g., over 1.5 points) to large margins (e.g., over 20.5 points). All secondary rules clarify that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Cowboys versus Texans game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine winning contracts. The market will settle based on which spread contracts align with the actual result of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cowboys or the Texans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven by trader behavior, not external opinions.