TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a specific football game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. If both teams finish the quarter with equal scores, the result is considered a tie.
If Houston wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the DAL Cowboys vs HOU Texans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dallas wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the DAL Cowboys vs HOU Texans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the DAL Cowboys vs HOU Texans Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the event's outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the Cowboys and Texans' chances in the 4th quarter. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting, where the sportsbook sets the price upfront.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – the Cowboys or the Texans – is winning at the end of the 4th quarter of the game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Cowboys or the Texans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected performance during the first three quarters of the game will also heavily influence trading activity, as traders adjust their positions based on the evolving dynamics of the contest.