TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the final quarter of a specific football game. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and reward based on expected game momentum in the last period.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both teams during the 4th quarter of the designated game, with overtime points explicitly excluded. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves as 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves as 'No'. Thresholds range incrementally from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the final quarter. The secondary rule consistently applies across all markets, ensuring only points scored during regulation 4th quarter play are counted, maintaining uniform evaluation criteria for all thresholds.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals trading on Kalshi. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. This can create opportunities to find value where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom. It’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may not immediately consider.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market price essentially represents the consensus expectation for the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Cowboys-Texans game. Trading volume and order flow directly influence these price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans will determine the result. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be verified against official game statistics. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of the contract they purchased. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses, as the final minutes can significantly impact the outcome of this market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Key events include any news regarding injuries to starting quarterbacks or key defensive players on either team. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring potential. In-game developments, like a significant early lead by one team or a series of turnovers, will undoubtedly cause the market to react. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and expert analysis, may also play a role, although the market primarily responds to actual game events and informed trading activity on Kalshi.