TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled game. It focuses on determining whether one team manages to outscore the other by a certain margin during that quarter, providing insight into potential momentum shifts or dominance in a critical game segment.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which either the Dallas Cowboys or Houston Texans could win the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning margin—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—in favor of either team. All outcomes are determined solely by points scored during the third quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or any other quarters. The markets collectively offer a granular view of potential scoring advantages, allowing for detailed assessment of competitive balance within that specific quarter. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread difference between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans at the end of the third quarter will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Cowboys or the Texans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any adjustments to team strategies, could all lead to traders reassessing the probability of different 3rd quarter spreads. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price movements on Kalshi.