TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional soccer match between two teams in a league competition. The focus is on whether both teams will score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk both score a goal in the Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Korea K League 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi to reflect their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Daejeon vs Jeonbuk match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Daejeon Citizen and Jeonbuk Hyundai teams score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will reflect the actual outcome – a price near 100 if both teams score, and near 0 if one or both teams fail to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Daejeon Citizen or Jeonbuk Hyundai would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could shift trader sentiment and impact the price on Kalshi. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations.