TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Czestochowa and Katowice. Bettors can speculate on which team will win after the full 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. If the game ends with both teams level, a separate outcome reflects that result.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Czestochowa vs Katowice professional Ekstraklasa soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins within regular time; a 'Tie' outcome occurs if the match ends level. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individual traders. If sportsbooks initially favor one team, but a significant number of traders on Kalshi believe the other team has a higher chance of winning, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Czestochowa vs Katowice match, as determined by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or time could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could drive trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.