TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Czechia vs. Spain
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Czechia vs Spain?

Total volume:
$13,668
Volume 24h:
$1,925
38%
Liquidity:
$18,299
7%
Open interest:
$9,819
19%

Spain

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:20h:47m

Spain wins

84%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 84¢ buys you 119 shares | Odds: 84% Total Payout: $119 | Net Profit: $19 Multiplier: 1.19x | ROI: 19% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

Trade
84%
1%
Yes 84¢No 17¢
1¢
N/A
$7,428
0.33%
N/A
$4,301
1w 2d 20h
Active
polymarket

Spain

Trade
83%
Yes 85¢No 19¢
4¢
$7,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
84%
Yes 84¢No 17¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$3,060
105%
N/A
$3,060
1w 2d 20h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Czechia vs. Spain)

Trade
11%
Yes 12¢No 91¢
3¢
$4,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Czechia

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$3,181
12%
N/A
$2,458
1w 2d 20h
Active
polymarket

Czechia

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 96¢
3¢
$6,491
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Czechia and Spain, scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Czechia will win, Spain will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed abandonment rules and a resolution deadline, while Kalshi lacks these provisions, relying solely on a completed match result.Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's markets are more susceptible to 'No' resolutions if the game is canceled or significantly delayed. Kalshi's markets are simpler but may be less resilient to disruptions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Includes detailed abandonment rules.
  • Kalshi: If Czechia wins the Czechia vs Spain professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. No mention of abandonment or cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Czechia and Spain, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Czechia vs Spain UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the respective country wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Czechia vs. Spain match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $13,668, with $1,924 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. Polymarket currently favors Will Spain win on 2026-11-12? at 83.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Spain wins at 84.0%. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. The wisdom of the crowd often incorporates information not readily reflected in sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more nuanced perspective on the likely outcome of the Czechia vs. Spain match.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity levels. These differences can lead to varying interpretations of the available information and, consequently, different probabilities assigned to each outcome. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies. The volume on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence and potentially tighter spreads.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Czechia vs. Spain match, as determined by the governing sports body. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Nov 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching strategies could shift expectations and influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders on either Polymarket or Kalshi could trigger price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.