TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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All
Sports
Cyprus vs. Montenegro
🌟New
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Cyprus vs. Montenegro?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$531
0.02%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Cyprus

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:18h:51m

Cyprus wins

55%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 55¢ buys you 182 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $182 | Net Profit: $82 Multiplier: 1.82x | ROI: 82% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cyprus

Trade
N/A
N/A
49¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
Active
polymarket

Cyprus

28%
Yes 50¢No 95¢
45¢
$209
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 47¢Max: 49¢
kalshi

Montenegro

N/A
N/A
60¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
Active
polymarket

Montenegro

45%
Yes 70¢No 81¢
51¢
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 55.5¢Max: 60¢
kalshi

Tie

N/A
N/A
56¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 18h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Cyprus vs. Montenegro)

32%
Yes 57¢No 94¢
51¢
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 15h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 53.5¢Max: 56¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Cyprus and Montenegro scheduled for November 15, 2026. Markets ask whether Cyprus will win, Montenegro will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes specific abandonment rules that Kalshi lacks, potentially leading to differing resolutions in the event of a canceled or abandoned match. Polymarket also has differing resolution for win/draw/tie markets.Hero tip: Be mindful of the possibility of a non-result and the differing handling of abandoned matches. Polymarket's draw market could be advantageous if a cancellation is likely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If Cyprus wins, resolves to 'Yes'. Otherwise 'No'. If abandoned, win markets resolve to 'No', draw market resolves to 'Yes'. Uses UEFA Nations League as primary source, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. Abandonment resolution relies on governing body rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Cyprus, Montenegro, or a Tie occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit abandonment rules are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Cyprus and Montenegro, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Cyprus vs Montenegro UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for Cyprus or Montenegro occurs only if that team secures a win within regulation time. If the match concludes in a tie at the end of regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the UEFA or the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Cyprus vs. Montenegro match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities and provides a comparative analysis of how opinions are shifting over time regarding the match’s result. This provides a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the Cyprus vs. Montenegro match.

Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by participants who aim to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, for example, reflects the collective intelligence of forecasters, potentially incorporating information not readily available to sportsbook oddsmakers. Consequently, you may find that the implied probability of an event in this market diverges from sportsbook offerings, offering a valuable comparative data point for informed decision-making.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading fees, liquidity, and the specific market-making strategies employed on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing levels of volume on Polymarket versus Kalshi can amplify these differences, as smaller order imbalances have a larger impact on less liquid markets. These factors combine to create potentially different price signals.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cyprus vs. Montenegro match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their predictions in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Cyprus or Montenegro would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches, or broader shifts in public perception of the teams' capabilities, could also influence trading activity. Major geopolitical events or unforeseen circumstances affecting travel or the ability to host the match could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market prices.