TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 0.5 goals will be scored in the Cyprus versus Latvia UEFA Nations League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Cyprus vs Latvia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market has a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Extra time and penalty kicks are not counted toward the goal total. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and differences can arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Cyprus vs Latvia match. Traders can set their own buy and sell orders, influencing the price based on their analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Cyprus vs Latvia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by recognized sports data providers. The final price of contracts will reflect the actual total goals scored, allowing traders to profit if their predictions were accurate. It’s important to monitor the match closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand potential shifts in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cyprus or Latvia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or referee assignments might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly as we approach the Oct 5, 2026 resolution.