TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, this market reflects the collective wisdom of many individual traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when accounting for information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, and discrepancies between the two can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It’s important to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price of that contract increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus view of all traders on Predict regarding the likelihood of each outcome in the Cyprus vs. Latvia match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cyprus vs. Latvia match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that data. Traders who held contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those who held contracts for the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also have an impact. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, large-volume trades by informed individuals or groups could create momentum and drive price movements in either direction, reflecting new information or changing sentiment.