TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Cyprus and Latvia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Cyprus and Latvia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can create arbitrage opportunities by trading in this market and hedging on the sportsbook. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, or at least representing a different perspective on the probability of various outcomes.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible halftime result. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that constantly adjusts to new information and sentiment. The current price reflects the implied probability of each halftime result, as determined by the traders on Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The halftime result – which team is winning or if the game is tied at the halfway point of the match – will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the match, and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first half. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts on Predict after resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the game could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Predict itself can create momentum and move the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by the actions of traders on the platform.