TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 3:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cyprus and Latvia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cyprus" if Cyprus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Latvia" if Latvia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cyprus and Latvia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cyprus" if Cyprus are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Latvia" if Latvia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value if they significantly differ from the prediction market price. It’s important to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Keep in mind that prediction markets allow for continuous betting until resolution, unlike fixed-odds sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess the likelihood of each team scoring first, seeking to profit from correctly predicting the result. This dynamic pricing is a key feature of Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Cyprus vs. Latvia match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and confirmation of market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formation would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions or pitch conditions could also impact the perceived probability of each team scoring first. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns, will also play a role. Finally, early game events, such as a near-miss or a strong start by one team, could trigger rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding action.