TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two national teams in a competitive league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular playing time, including any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Cyprus and Latvia both score a goal in the Cyprus vs Latvia UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from, or align with, sportsbook offerings. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams to score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score). The price of a contract reflects the market’s current belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Cyprus and Latvia score at least one goal during the match. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will not. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cyprus or Latvia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s attacking or defensive weaknesses could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the price of this market on Kalshi.