TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Cyprus vs. Latvia
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Cyprus vs. Latvia?

Volume:
$3,345,690

Cyprus

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cyprus

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$943,272
N/A
N/A
$391,330
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cyprus

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$367,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

CYP

View
99%
39%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$12,444
$124,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
25%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$159
$54,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$665,222
N/A
N/A
$361,120
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Cyprus vs. Latvia)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LAT

View
1%
15%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$189
$40,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Latvia

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$857,844
N/A
N/A
$337,759
Settled
No
polymarket

Latvia

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Cyprus and Latvia, specifically whether Cyprus will win their game on October 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Cyprus winning is 100.0%, aggregated from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. The market will resolve based on whether Cyprus wins the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the UEFA Nations League match. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the game on October 5, 2026, to see if this consensus holds true as the match unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves the draw market to 'Yes' upon cancellation, while Kalshi keeps markets open.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket's draw market will benefit from a cancellation, while Kalshi's markets will remain open.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the draw market will resolve to "Yes". Win markets resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, the markets remain open until the game is completed. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official statistics with fallbacks to Flashscore/Sofascore.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Cyprus and Latvia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Cyprus vs Latvia UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Cyprus, a win for Latvia, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' outcome is triggered. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Cyprus and Latvia.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cyprus vs. Latvia match, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, conversely, are driven by the wisdom of the crowd, where participants directly bet on outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information surfaces. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bets, while this market focuses on specific outcomes. The difference in odds reflects these varying mechanisms and incentives.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cyprus vs. Latvia match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading volume, and liquidity, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design—contract details, fees, and allowed bet sizes—can vary between platforms. Information flow and interpretation can also differ; news or analysis might be weighted differently by traders on each venue. These combined effects can create temporary discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of the match’s outcome.