TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Riera and Yasmine Kabbaj in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Riera' if Julia Riera advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Julia Riera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Riera and Yasmine Kabbaj in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Riera' if Julia Riera advances against Yasmine Kabbaj. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Kabbaj' if Yasmine Kabbaj advances against Julia Riera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the players' chances. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the crowd believes is the fair probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts its assessment of the Riera vs Kabbaj match as the event approaches. The current price reflects the aggregated views of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Riera vs Kabbaj match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any official result will be used to determine which outcome in this market is declared the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will determine the payout of their shares. The platform will then distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis could all influence trading activity. Strong performances by either player in other recent matches, or any reported strategic adjustments, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Any significant information impacting the perceived probability of either player winning will likely be reflected in the price of shares within this market.