TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Tomas Barrios in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Tomas Barrios. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Barrios' if Tomas Barrios advances against Guido Justo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Guido Justo and Tomas Barrios in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guido Justo' if Guido Justo advances against Tomas Barrios. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Barrios' if Tomas Barrios advances against Guido Justo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's aggregate forecast for the result of the Curitiba tennis match, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Curitiba tennis match between Guido Justo and Tomas Barrios, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, based on the official score and any applicable rules governing the competition. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market expectations, causing the odds to move. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.