TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:53 PM EST
Kalshi
Another professional soccer match features two competing teams, with the outcome decided solely by the result after the full regular duration of play, including stoppage time.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team market if that team wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows individuals to express their independent beliefs about the outcome. If a significant amount of money flows toward a particular result, the price will adjust accordingly, potentially moving further away from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of traders participating in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a transparent and efficient pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Serbian SuperLiga match, as reported by official league sources. The contract corresponding to the winning outcome will pay out $1.00, while contracts for losing outcomes will be worth $0.00. Traders should monitor official sources as the event concludes to understand the final outcome and settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or strategic adjustments could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations as traders react to the latest information available before Oct 10, 2026.