TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Cuiaba and Sao Bernardo in the Brasileiro Serie B league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Cuiaba wins, Sao Bernardo wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Cuiaba market occurs if Cuiaba wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Sao Bernardo market occurs if Sao Bernardo wins the match within regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after normal time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd diverges from professional oddsmakers, potentially indicating undervalued or overvalued probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, team performance, and overall market sentiment, creating opportunities for traders to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo match. The current volume indicates the level of interest in each possible result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Cuiaba, a win for Sao Bernardo, or a draw—actually occurred during the scheduled match. All outstanding contracts will be settled based on this verified result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cuiaba or Sao Bernardo would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also play a role, as could any significant tactical changes announced by either team’s coach. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning, or the possibility of a draw, has the potential to move this market.