TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Cuiaba and Avai. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game. It reflects the competitive nature of the match without predicting a specific winner.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Cuiaba vs Avai professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored during regular time—including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties—exceeds the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. As more traders buy, the price increases, and as more sell, the price decreases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a constantly updating assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Cuiaba vs Avai match will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders holding a 'yes' contract will receive a payout if the total goals fall within the specified range, while 'no' contract holders will receive a payout if it does not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Cuiaba or Avai would likely have an impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable, or even significant changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could all contribute to price movement. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the total goals scored is crucial for traders.