TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses if both Cuiaba and Avai will score in their Brasileiro Serie B fixture scheduled for October 11, 2026. The result hinges on whether each side scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Cuiaba and Avai both score a goal in the Cuiaba vs Avai Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market prices are dynamic and change based on real-time trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting 'Yes' (both teams to score), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the match approaches. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Cuiaba and Avai score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final result will be based on the official scoreline reported after the completion of the game, and any potential extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cuiaba or Avai would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released before the match could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even general news about team morale or recent performance could contribute to price movements in this market.