TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cuba" if Cuba score more goals than St. Kitts and Nevis in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Kitts and Nevis" if St. Kitts and Nevis score more goals than Cuba in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cuba" if Cuba score more goals than St. Kitts and Nevis in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Kitts and Nevis" if St. Kitts and Nevis score more goals than Cuba in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, and the collective trading can lead to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome, as perceived by participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion between prediction market traders and sportsbook operators.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants. The total volume traded provides an indication of how much interest there is in each possible result of the Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis second half.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team has the higher score in the second half of the Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis match. Official match results from recognized sporting authorities will be used to determine the winner. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual outcome of the game. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence trading in this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to the game, or changes in team form, might also impact the odds. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements. Finally, any public statements from coaches or players that suggest a change in strategy or confidence levels could sway the market.