TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cuba" if Cuba are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Kitts and Nevis" if St. Kitts and Nevis are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cuba" if Cuba are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Kitts and Nevis" if St. Kitts and Nevis are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The higher the price of a share, the more likely the market believes that outcome is to happen. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis match. Official sources such as sports news outlets and the governing body's official website will be used to determine the first scoring team. The market will then settle to 100% probability for the winning outcome and 0% for the losing outcome.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other qualifying matches or significant tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach could also impact the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the price, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.