TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis.
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Cuba and St. Kitts and Nevis.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see prediction market odds move more rapidly in response to new information or breaking news than traditional sportsbook lines, as traders continually adjust their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, and the volume traded indicates the level of confidence in those predictions. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader political or economic events impacting team morale or travel, could also play a role. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and drive price movements in this market.