TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 2.5 total goals will be scored in the Cuba versus Saint Kitts & Nevis CONCACAF Nations League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 2.5 goals are scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 5, 2026, as the outcome will depend on the goals scored during that fixture.
All markets resolve based solely on the total goals scored in the Cuba vs Saint Kitts & Nevis CONCACAF Nations League game scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts for any market resolution. The markets are structured as thresholds: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All secondary rules clarify that the platform has no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, driven by informed traders on Kalshi, tends to converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially offer odds based on perceived team strength, the prediction market continuously updates its assessment based on real-time trading activity and new information, potentially revealing discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely total goals scored. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, where prices efficiently incorporate available knowledge and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Cuba vs Saint Kitts & Nevis match will be the determining factor. This includes goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final goal tally, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value, settling this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cuba or Saint Kitts & Nevis would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could shift the market's perception of the likely total goals scored, leading to movement in this market.