TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two national teams in a regional tournament. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular playing time, including any added stoppage time. The focus is on the competitive performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Cuba and Saint Kitts & Nevis both score a goal in the Cuba vs Saint Kitts & Nevis CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Cuba vs Saint Kitts & Nevis match. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. The current price indicates what percentage of the contract's face value a trader would pay to own it, with higher prices signifying a greater perceived likelihood of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Cuba and Saint Kitts & Nevis score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sporting authorities will be used to determine the final outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cuba or Saint Kitts & Nevis would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly affect the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, any unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical approaches might shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations.