TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cuba will win its soccer match against Saint Kitts and Nevis. Currently, Kalshi gives Cuba a 53.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 29.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Concacaf Nations League game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the result of the match itself on October 6, 2026, as that will determine the final settlement of this market.
If Cuba wins the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Saint Kitts and Nevis wins the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to significant events or breaking news related to the teams involved in the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism that constantly updates as new information becomes available and participants refine their predictions about the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis match.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The specifics of the match result will be used to determine which outcome, if any, is considered the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions for either Cuba or Saint Kitts and Nevis would likely cause price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, unforeseen circumstances like weather conditions or travel disruptions could introduce uncertainty and lead to market movement. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 6, 2026 resolution of the Cuba vs Saint Kitts and Nevis match.