TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of dragons killed by each team in a specific League of Legends match. The outcome depends on whether the specified team achieves a certain minimum number of dragon kills during the game, reflecting strategic performance and team coordination in a high-stakes playoff scenario.
The event resolves based on the official statistics of dragon kills achieved by either CTBC Flying Oyster or Karmine Corp in Game 2 of their Worlds 2026 League of Legends match scheduled for October 29, 2026, at 7:00 PM EDT. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of dragon kills for one of the teams (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the original start time, or if it is canceled, forfeited, or shortened before official statistics are published, the market resolves to the last fair price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the resolution is based on officially recorded statistics up to the point of forfeit, unless voided by the governing body. Any replay of the match invalidates previously recorded statistics from the voided portion. Only statistics from officially counted play are used for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement between professional oddsmakers and the collective intelligence of prediction market traders. However, direct comparisons are difficult without a specific sportsbook quote for the same outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of dragons secured by CTBC Flying Oyster during Game 2 of the match will be tallied. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data from the League of Legends esports event. The final outcome will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either CTBC Flying Oyster or Karmine Corp could significantly impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first game of the series, if played before resolution, would also be a major catalyst. Unexpected announcements about the game itself, such as patch updates or rule changes, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of CTBC Flying Oyster’s ability to secure dragon kills will likely affect trading volume and price.