TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSyD Defensa y Justicia" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA San Lorenzo de Almagro" if CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSyD Defensa y Justicia" if CSyD Defensa y Justicia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA San Lorenzo de Almagro" if CA San Lorenzo de Almagro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate factors like marketing and house biases into their odds, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Defensa y Justicia or San Lorenzo will score first. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Therefore, the market price is a dynamic representation of the collective forecast of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the match between Defensa y Justicia and San Lorenzo, as recorded by official match statistics. The official match report will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market. Any disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match’s events.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Defensa y Justicia or San Lorenzo would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also impact the perceived probabilities. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, especially if they are expected to favor one team’s style of play over the other. Any significant developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to move this market.