TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
CSyD Defensa y Justicia 3 - 0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- Polymarket
CSyD Defensa y Justicia 3 - 0 CA San Lorenzo de Almagro - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 3, 2026
Closed: Oct 3, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from sportsbook implied probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest or debate surrounding the outcome of the Defensa y Justicia vs. San Lorenzo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Defensa y Justicia vs. San Lorenzo match – the exact score – will be used to determine which shares pay out. Resolution will depend on official match data, and the market will settle to 100% probability for the correct exact score. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market has been definitively settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Defensa y Justicia or San Lorenzo would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even weather conditions on match day, could also cause price fluctuations. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ chances of achieving a specific exact score in the Defensa y Justicia vs. San Lorenzo match could drive trading volume and price changes.