TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors
Volume:
$401,875
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Thursday, April 23, 2026 between CSyD Defensa y Justicia and CA Boca Juniors.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is fundamentally broken: all three outcome markets (Defensa win, Boca win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction that violates mutual exclusivity. Polymarket correctly structures three mutually exclusive binary markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets for this event. The resolution logic is internally contradictory—all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve YES. Polymarket's structure is the only logically sound framework: exactly one of the three binary markets will resolve YES, the other two NO.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) Defensa wins → YES/NO, (2) Draw → YES/NO, (3) Boca wins → YES/NO. Exactly one resolves YES based on 90-minute match outcome. Resolution source is official AFA statistics or credible consensus if unavailable within 2 hours. Cancellation with no makeup resolves NO for win markets, YES for draw market.
- Kalshi: Three separate markets, each stating 'If [outcome] wins/ties the match, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: if Defensa wins, market 1 resolves YES; if Boca wins, market 2 resolves YES; if Tie occurs, market 3 resolves YES. However, the structure implies all three markets could resolve YES simultaneously if the platform interprets each as independent YES-only outcomes rather than mutually exclusive events. No cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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